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Tom Brown: After a 20-year party it's time to wake up and feel the hangover


Scrutiny

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Published Date:
20 April 2008
EVERYONE remembers Gordon Gekko's rant in the film Wall Street: "Greed – for lack of a better word – is good…" But most forget how it goes on as a perverse paean of praise for selfishness and avarice: "Greed is right. Greed works. Greed, in all of its forms – greed for life, for money, for love, knowledge – has marked the upward surge of mankind."

That was 1987, when those who could afford and many who couldn't bought into the Gekko (and Thatcherite) philosophy of materialism, acquiring possessions, property, cars and the fancy goods and fripperies of 'the good life'. In 2008, we are all p
aying the price – and griping and girning about it.

We are now experiencing the inevitable financial headache that follows a reckless 20-year party and, as with all hangovers, we only have ourselves to blame. I have heard complaints from people who live in over-priced houses with hefty re-mortgages, who run two cars, who holiday abroad twice or more times a year, and who crash the credit cards every weekend on things they want but don't need. One in his thirties said to me ruefully the other day: "My trouble is I'm one of Maggie's children. We had to get on the property ladder, we had to be upwardly mobile – but most of it is on credit."

The total personal debt in the UK is a mind-boggling £1.5 trillion. Every British adult owes an average £29,926; for households, it is almost £60,000 including mortgages; the number of mortgage-holders with secured debts of over £90,000 has doubled in the last two years.

These figures would horrify past generations who lived by the Polonian principle "neither a borrower nor a lender be" and for whom debt equalled disgrace. Our grandparents saved up-front in clubs and provident societies before they bought and the advent of hire-purchase was greeted with suspicion. No more.

Irresponsible banks have thrown money at us for decades and now that the crunch has arrived, they are queuing up in Downing Street for the Government to throw more billions at them to bail them out. We've all had the unsolicited offers of lavish credit on as many cards as our wallet can hold; on my plastic, I can spend £25,000 with no questions asked – and the fact that I pay every month to avoid interest makes them very unhappy.

Millions of others pay the monthly minimum, making the debt millstone around their necks ever heavier. Result: around 300 people are declared bankrupt or insolvent every day and 60,000 homes in the UK are at high risk of repossession.

Who says a fall in property prices is a bad thing? Only those who expected to make massive profits on houses that had become grotesquely over-valued. The International Monetary Fund figures Britain's house prices are still a third higher than can be explained by fundamental factors because credit has been artificially cheap. People are finding out the true value of their houses in the real world and not the phoney universe where prices increased by an unreal 215% between 1997 and 2007. While that may be tough on those who regard their houses as investments and not homes, or sons and daughters waiting for parents to pop off and leave them a six-figure windfall, it is actually a return to common-sense values.

Crisis? What crisis? Six out of 10 adults still eat out at restaurants or go to pubs and clubs, and we are spending a disproportionate amount on goods we dump within a year. How many homes have, not one or two, but four or five TV sets? Kids pester parents for the latest model of mobile phone or iPod; if they ask for a Wii or a new football top it's theirs.

Steadily rising prices will force us to adopt a more rational approach.

The average British shopping basket costs 11% per cent more than a year ago. In belt-tightening Britain, we could return to the days of "waste not, want not", choosing cheaper cuts of meat at the supermarket and relearning the art of making meals from left-overs – bring back shepherd's pie, hash and stovies!

Thrift may mean making the car run for another 10,000 miles and driving past the new models on the forecourt; holidays abroad postponed as one in five say they'll be looking for cheaper alternatives and shorter breaks which must be good news for our own tourist industry; and a long, hard look at whether we really need new clothes or furniture. Already, the retail trade says sales have declined as consumers make "serious economies" – expect a desperate advertising blitz to tempt us back on a shopping spree.

Of course, help must be given to those whose need is real and urgent but for the rest who are living comfortably and complain about losing a few luxuries, a bit of self-help and self-discipline is called for. Frank Buchman, the founder of the Moral Rearmament movement, was a controversial figure but he was right when he said: "There is enough in the world for everyone's need but not for everyone's greed."

It is easy to complain and, although it is a global problem, say the buck stops with Gordon Brown. But the uncomfortable truth is we all have a bit of Gordon Gekko in us.





The full article contains 917 words and appears in Scotland On Sunday newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

John1,

Stirling 20/04/2008 00:30:50
"That was 1987, when those who could afford and many who couldn't bought into the Gekko (and Thatcherite) philosophy of materialism, acquiring possessions, property, cars and the fancy goods and fripperies of 'the good life'."
This wasn't the Thatcherite philosophy. The belief that it was shows the success of the Labour spin machine. Thatcher's philosophy was that as much as possible we should stand on our own feet, while helping those who couldn't. The world adopted the idea and was the better for it. Then Labour got control again, with the usual results. I'm old enough to have lived through every Labour government since 1945 and we go through the same cycle every time. The problem this time is that there is no Conservative government-in-waiting able to tackle the situation, and the moral fibre of the nation has been destroyed by those who believed - and adopted - the Labour version.
2

Ghostman,

Highland 20/04/2008 01:51:25
Doesn't much matter who is to blame the entire Western world is up to it's neck in debt.Future geneations will have much to thank us for when they hold their rice bowls up for scraps from the Asian table.Welcome to the Century of the Dragon and remember the Chinese curse; May you live in interesting times.
Expect no mercy.
3

Ghostman,

Highland 20/04/2008 08:13:06
And by the way Mr Brown the last 20 years might have been a party for you and yours,but come down from your comfort zone and see how the othr half live.
4

Hugo of Garven,

20/04/2008 09:47:34
Tom, Are you expecting us to take responsibility for our own actions?

And for their consequences? 'But I saw the man put the pig in the poke!'
5

Hugo of Garven,

20/04/2008 09:55:21
A question for your on-line chat.

How big an influence will Londonopolis egocentricity have in fueling the Scottish drive for independence?
6

Rev. S. Campbell,

Bath 20/04/2008 09:58:28
I'm not sure that a downturn in the economy will be good news for our home tourism industry. It's still usually cheaper to have a week in the foreign sun than a weekend at the British seaside.
7

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 12:02:55
Tom Brown here - thanks for your comments. If you'll forgive the pun, there is a lot of food for thought there ...
John 1 - In the Thatcher days there was not all that much help for those who couldn't help themselves. You are quite right to warn that there is 'no government in waiting to tackle the situation'; no-one can really believe that David Cameron and Co.are capable of coping with an economic crisis.
8

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 12:04:34
To Ghostman: As I tried to indicate in the column, our enforced economies in our lifestyle are trivial compared with what is happening in othere countries. Starvation and food ruots are a helluva price to pay for Western selfishness.
9

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 12:11:25
Hugo of Garven asks: How big an influence will Londonopolis egocentricity have in fueling the Scottish drive for independence?
I don't know what you mean by 'Londonopolis egocentricity'. I presume this is part of the Scottish grudge and girn mentality in which everything is blamed on 'London'. Last time I looked, we have a UK government, with Scottish representation - and only those lived in their own La-La land north of the border continue to play a narrow-minded blame game. As for fueling the drive for Scottish independence, I think the Scottish people are much more subtle than the moaners allow. I believe they will continue to vote for alternative candidates as a reminder to Westminster and Whitehall not to take Scotland for granted - something of which Labour have been guilty in the recent past. Their present position in opposition at Holyrood is the price they paid for believing that there was a traditional scottish loyalty to Labour; now they have to get used to the idea that loyalty has to be earned.
10

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 12:18:21
Rev S. Campbell of Bath wrote: "I'm not sure that a downturn in the economy will be good news for our home tourism industry. It's still usually cheaper to have a week in the foreign sun than a weekend at the British seaside."
It will be interesting to see what happens this year to our own tourism industry and so much depends on our weather! However, your holiday pound has slumped against the eur, so Europe will be more expensive this year. Trips to the US are still a bargain but the dollar seems to be making a recovery. The National Trends survey says: "While many of us see an annual holiday as essential rather than a luxury, one in five people – or 12 million Britons – say they will cut back on a summer break. Young people aged 15 to 34 are more likely to go without a holiday. The likelihood is that holidays will still be taken but inevitably in the form of cheaper options, or else shorter-duration breaks which match the household cash-flow." What was that old wartime song - "Stay at home for your holidays ... and we'll all have a jolly good time ..."
11

The Thracian,

Batavadorum 20/04/2008 12:40:50
We won't have a jolly good time. The weather is routinely completely appalling, and the country ridiculously over-priced and bad value with indifferen food and sulky, glaikit, useless staff (apart from the Poles, Aussies and Kiwis). Sanity in Scotland utterly depends on being able to escape from the place.
12

ccc,

20/04/2008 12:52:52
I am impressed Mr Brown. More and more people are now seeing the mess we are in and facing up to what has to happen. Shame you and the rest weren't writing about this a few years ago and we could have perhaps made this all a little less painful. :)

BTW how come you were allowed to write your comments about property prices going down as perhaps being a good thing. Have your superiors not read this !! They usually don't like that sort of chat....
13

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 12:56:08
To The Thracian: Ouch! You obviously need a good holiday! I agree service in Scotland can be poor and attitudes have to improve but get yourself over to the East Neuk and enjoy yourself. Are things in Thrace (presumably Bulgaria, northern Greece and eastern Turkey) really so much better - apart, of course, from the weather?
14

David55,

London 20/04/2008 13:00:24
In London it's still pretty much boom time in the Construction sector. I can't see that changing until at least 2012. The Olympics, Crossrail, East London Line, Westfield shopping development (the biggest in the U.K. is planned for Stratford), Office/Residential developments, etc. Personally speaking I haven't seen any decline in the economy yet.
15

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Bothwell 20/04/2008 13:06:16
David 55: You're right. You only have to see how money is being chucked away in shopping malls and on nights out to know that the crisis isn't biting on an individual level .... yet. But rocketing petrol costs and some quite startling increases in food prices will start to take effect as people check their bank statements at the end of each month. A lot depends on how the government handles it - certainly, investments in infrastructure and spin-offs from things like the Olympics (or in Scotland's case, the Commonwealth Games) will help - although expect office/residental developments to slow up. The big complaints I hear from the construction sector are (1) the need for apprenticeships and (2) the number of new jobs that are being taken up by immigrants. So even the good news things create problems.
16

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 13:11:08
ccc wrote: Shame you and the rest weren't writing about this a few years ago and we could have perhaps made this all a little less painful.
I take your point but when the 'experts' at the Treasury, the World Bank and even the Royal Bank of Scotland didn't see it coming, how could a mere columnist be expected to?
As for 'my superiors' allowing me to write such things, it's my name and ugly mug on the column and the SoS doesn't go in for censorship.
17

David55,

London 20/04/2008 13:17:27
I have noticed that the price of my brown loaf at Somerfield/Sainsburys has went up by about 50% in a year. However, on the flip side, my firm are actively looking to recruit engineers but they can't find quality candidates, hence the wages keep rising. I see reports in industry press, saying how terrible it all is but from an employees point of view it's brilliant. Move on every 12-18 months and keep the wages rising, that's my plan. As for the need for apprenticeships, the industry is reaping what it has sown. Rotten wages and unsteady job prospects caused a lot of people to give the construction/engineering sector a body swerve. As a result there is now a staff shortage (the industry should give thanks to god for the Poles). The way to stop that is to pay better wages, then people want to get into the industry, then wages go down, then the cycle repeats. It's a funny old world.
18

ccc,

20/04/2008 13:20:15
Cheers for the reply Mr Brown. I do appreciate what you are saying. But I do think most people could see this coming. They just didn't want to....

I am no economist but I have known this has been coming for a few years now. How ? Simple. Bust follows boom like night follows day. It always has and it always will. There a million other details you could go into but the simple reasons are always the best. What goes up must come down...

People have been spending money they cannot afford. When you see 20 year olds, earning 16k per year driving a new Peugeot convertible (That they have a loan for), drinking £8 cocktails like not tomorrow (That they have a visa card for) and living in their brand new 'executive apartment' (That they have a 125% mortgage for) it was pretty clear it would all end in tears.

But at least it is all coming out now. Better late than never. It will come as a shock to many people but that is their problem. I just hope they have to deal with their own issues and don't expect us prudent people to pay for their greed.People like myself who have prepared for this and have no debts and savings should be ok. Unless the Government decide to go down the inflationary route to lessen the impact of the debt. I hope they don't, our currency is already tanking as it is....


PS - I will take your word for it on 'censorship'. It must just be the Evening News then... :)
19

David55,

London 20/04/2008 13:27:29
In terms of any possible recession, the good thing for Scotland is that so many people are employed in some shape or form by the public sector. Whether it be local or central government, the emergency services, quangos or the miriad of other public sector funded bodies, lots of people are basically employed by the public sector. This should help Scotland ride out any recession relatively comfortably.

That said, if Scotland ever does get independence a lot of these jobs will need to be axed and the benefits culture stopped or the country will go bust in no time.
20

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 13:28:14
David 55 London: How fortunate you are to have qualifications. The answer for the future is to help more people to get those qualifications (and, as in Glasgow, use the Commonwealth Games boomlet to create mroe apprenticeships). It's a long, slow process - and we have to hope your prediction of a high wage/low wage cycle doesn't come true. (PS I know whereof I speak. as someone who has no qualifications - I ended up in journalism ...)
21

Itchy,

20/04/2008 13:28:49
"In 2008, we are all paying the price – and griping and girning about it."

We are paying the price, not for 80's greed, but for Brown's insatiable thirst for higher taxes.
22

Itchy,

20/04/2008 13:30:13
#7 "no-one can really believe that David Cameron and Co.are capable of coping with an economic crisis"

Who says that Brown and Darling are? Those two are economically illiterate ditherers.
23

David55,

London 20/04/2008 13:33:15
Mr. Brown (Tom, not the PM), I'd be interested to read your views on Alistair Darling. I'm not particularly impressed. Do you think he is a capable chancellor?
24

David55,

London 20/04/2008 13:43:39
Mr Brown, I have a degree now but I started off as an apprentice spark, so there is some amount of personnal experience of the low wages and unsteady job prospects. The unfortunate thing with the boom and bust aspects of the economy is that it will probably adversly affect the construction industry at some stage.

However, if anyone young person ever asked me, I would advise them take up an apprenticship. You can always go to uni later in life but a trade is a great thing to have. It was easily the best training i've had so far.
25

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 13:45:10
Re above:
(1) 'Brown's thirst for higher taxes' - or, as I prefer to call it, redistribution of wealth - cannot be blamed for the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US and the present level of world petrol prices.
(2) After ten years of stability, inflation under control and record levels of employment, I don't think anyone can describe Gordon Brown as 'economically illiterate'.
(3) No-one ever thought Darling would be a brilliant Chancellor; he got the job because he is loyal, workmanlike and 'a safe pair of hands'. His performance in the next few months (and particularly over the 10p tax band debacle) will show what he's really made of. In any case, who says he's the REAL Chancellor?
26

Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,

Edinburgh 20/04/2008 14:08:18
Thank you all for your contributions. It's been an interesting couple of hours. Keep them coming and I'll check over the next few days.
Meanwhile, the sun is shining ...
27

Hugo of Garven,

20/04/2008 16:57:54
I was not able to be on-line when you were.

If you think that my view of Londonopolis egocentricity is " . . presume this is part of the Scottish grudge and girn mentality . . " then I suggest you go and talk to people north of Watford Gap. You will find the same viewpoint there.

The recognition that there is a problem is the first major step to finding a solution.

I suggest that Londonopolis has not reached that stage.
28

Seannair,

Oban 20/04/2008 21:38:19
I travelled by car to Edinburgh on Saturday and stopped at Motorway Services near Stirling to break my journey and buy a paper.

I went for a coffee and was joylessly ripped off by slow and surly staff for a small and indifferent cup of tasteless brown liquid that cost me £3.20.The tables were littered by previous users' debris.

I suppose I should be pleased that nobody said, "Have a nice day."

What is it about Airports and Motorway Services that makes such appalling provision cost so much?

I certainly pay much more of my relatively modest income in tax and get less for it since Prudence Brown arrived on the scene and I certainly do not believe that the rate of inflation is around 2%

Check out Angus MacNeil's article about the price of fuel in rural and island Scotland.

Darling was a scruffy left wing beatnick when he was an Edinburgh Councillor.Ironic really as he is a public schoolboy from a traditionally Tory background. I suppose he is just reverting to type. Brown was a rabid revolutionary until he grasped power since when he has steadily moved rightwards.
29

Itchy,

20/04/2008 22:23:04
#25 "25 Tom Brown, Scotland on Sunday,Edinburgh 20/04/2008 13:45:10
Re above:
(1) 'Brown's thirst for higher taxes' - or, as I prefer to call it, redistribution of wealth -

I'll redistribute your wallet for you then.....


2) After ten years of stability, inflation under control and record levels of employment, I don't think anyone can describe Gordon Brown as 'economically illiterate'.

He is illiterate. His response to growth and slowdowns is higher taxation and regulation and he has spent recklessly for years with nothing to show for it.

Mr Brown, socialists like you are what is wrong with Scotland.
30

boudica,

Glasgow 20/04/2008 23:37:24
Tom ..Bravo ..Bravo ...You have hit the nail in the Head but I think the Me..Me..Me Culture started more in the Middle 70`s and John 1 ..Margaret Thatcher started as she meant to go on ..She stood on whomever got in her way and heaven help those who couldnt help themselves ..I only hope those that do end up with a bad hangover ..can handle the cure ..
31

bumpkin,

21/04/2008 00:36:57
Welcome to the belt tightened world that farmers have occupied since labour came to power.
Golden wedensday(some call it black) in 1992 , when j major devalued (involuntarily) the pound, created the boom which blair/brown inherited in 1997.
They did ok till they deviated from majors plan, around 2002, since then its been spend spend spend.
Also screw,screw screw small business to the wall.
My car is 11 yrs old, my telly 14,
My deisel bill has risen from £1000/ month 4 yrs ago, to £1000/week.
My bill for fuel duty on red deisel now nearly exceeds my total cost for deisel in 1997.
It cant go on.

 

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